Technical Deep Dives
Market Dispatch 101
How the NEM determines a price, with a hands-on tool you can try for yourself.
Docs
Reference documentation and how-to guides for the Varial platform.
Market Reports
VarialView: 2026 Q3
Our first public house view of the NEM. Five scenarios, five weather year sensitivities, 2026 to 2040, built on our own assumptions adjusted from the AEMO ISP Step Change scenario.
Market Reports
How about that weather year eh?
Most models run one weather year on repeat. We run up to fifteen, because there is no typical year, and the more renewables we build the more the weather determines the price.
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Intro to Varial
What Varial is, who it's for, and how Spot, Positions, and VAR fit together.
Market Reports
VarialView: ISP 2026-Final Review
We ran AEMO's 2026 final ISP assumptions through the Varial Market Model. We share some of our commercial concerns for the input assumptions and corresponding outputs.
Get Started
Varial Energy API - Developer Guide
Quickstart and conventions for the developer API (/api/v1): mint a token, clone a template forecast, adjust it, submit, poll, and download results, no clicking required.
Technical Deep Dives
Whose Bias Is In Your Curve?
Every price forecast encodes a view about who sets the price when the sun is up. That one choice decides whether your solar looks good and your wind and storage look ordinary. Six charts to find yours — ours included.
Get Started Coming soon
Intro to Spot
Run your own fundamental NEM price forecasts, or use the Varial house view.
Get Started Coming soon
Intro to VAR
Value any portfolio of physical, financial, and retail positions against any forecast.
Blog Coming soon
Why Varial
The problem with incumbent forecasts, and how Varial's integrated approach compares.
Get Started Coming soon
The Market Model
A deep dive into how Varial simulates dispatch and forms NEM price forecasts.
Blog Coming soon
Why Varial Doesn't Model Capacity Investment (Yet)
Why getting prices right beats producing yet another capacity forecast.
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