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Varial EnergyMedium to long term prices and valuations ↗ Varial XShort-term forecasts and insights ↗

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How the NEM sets price Weather years Solar vs storage The Sniff Test
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Docs/Article library

Article library

Reference documentation and how-to guides for the Varial platform.

Guide

Varial services 101→

How Varial Energy and Varial X turn configurable market scenarios into decision-ready analysis.

ServicesScenarios

Insight

Solar vs storage→

Why solar capture improved in 2026, and whether storage can keep pace as PV grows.

SolarStorage

Oct 1, 2026

Insight

The Sniff Test→

A practical electricity price forecast check, with interactive AEMO, ASX and VarialView charts.

ForecastingPrices

Sep 24, 2026

Insight

Market Dispatch 101→

How the NEM determines a price, with a hands-on tool you can try for yourself.

Spot Fundamentals

Jul 31, 2026 2 min read

Market report

VarialView: 2026 Q3→

Our first public house view of the NEM. Five scenarios, five weather year sensitivities, 2026 to 2040, built on our own assumptions adjusted from the AEMO ISP Step Change scenario.

Market Reports VarialView

Jul 28, 2026

Insight

How about that weather year eh?→

Most models run one weather year on repeat. We run up to fifteen, because there is no typical year, and the more renewables we build the more the weather determines the price.

Weather Risk

Jun 14, 2026 6 min read

Market report

VarialView: ISP 2026-Final Review→

We ran AEMO's 2026 final ISP assumptions through the Varial Market Model. We share some of our commercial concerns for the input assumptions and corresponding outputs.

Market Reports ISP

Jul 8, 2026

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Live NEM forecasts for trading and realistic price scenarios for contracts, assets and portfolios.

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